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India's Leading Source for Broadcasting & Broadband Information - CableQuest Magazine
HomeArticlesBroadbandInternet users to reach 829 mn by 2021; video to dominate 76% traffic
Monday, 10 July 2017 10:31

Internet users to reach 829 mn by 2021; video to dominate 76% traffic

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Digital transformation will continue to drive IP traffic in India with the projected increase in internet users from 373 million in 2016 to 829 million or 59% of the Indian population in 2021, according to Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Complete Forecast. In addition, there will be 2.0 billion networked devices in 2021, up from 1.4 billion in 2016 and the overall IP traffic is expected to grow 4-fold from 2016 to 2021, a compound annual growth rate of 30% and reach 6.5 Exabytes of data per month in 2021, up from 1.7 Exabytes per month in 2016. 

According to the report, M2M connections will represent 22% of the total 2 billion devices and connections and will account for 5% of IP traffic by 2021. Advancements in IoT applications such as smart meters, package tracking, digital health monitors and a host of other next-generation M2M services is driving this incremental growth - nearly 21% increase in the next five years. Video will continue to dominate IP traffic and overall internet traffic growth—representing 76% of all internet traffic in 2021, up from 57% in 2016. India will reach 84 billion internet video minutes per month by 202 1, which is one hundred and sixty thousand years of video per month, or about 32,000 video minutes every second. 

According to Sanjay Kaul, MD, Service Provider - Business, Cisco India & SAARC, “Mobile networks, devices and connections in India are not only getting smarter in their computing capabilities but are also evolving from lower-generation network connectivity (2G) to higher-generation network connectivity (3G, 3.5G, and 4G or LTE). Combining device capabilities with faster, higher bandwidth and more intelligent networks is leading to wide adoption of high bandwidth data, video and advanced multimedia applications that contribute to increased mobile and Wi-Fi traffic.”

He added, “We are witnessing a burgeoning rise in usage of mobile applications and connectivity by end users.  The need for optimised bandwidth management, network automation, e2e security and ultimately network monetisation through cost efficient data production is fuelling the growth of network automation, mass market 4G deployments and adoption, soon to be followed with 4.5G and 5G. Service providers around the world are busy architecting their networks to be more autonomous and capable of handling high bandwidth to help them meet the growing end-users demand for more bandwidth, higher security, and faster connectivity on the move. Many providers have also started field trials for 5G and are gearing towards rolling out 5G deployments towards the end of the VNI forecast period.” 

 

Internet growth and trends:

Consumer internet video traffic will reach 3.0 Exabytes per month in 2021, the equivalent of 756 million DVDs per month, or 1 million DVDs per hour In India, Consumer internet video traffic was 535 Petabytes per month in 2016, the equivalent of 134 million DVDs per month, or 183,261 DVDs per hour In India.

Internet video traffic will be 77% of all consumer internet traffic in 2021, up from 58% in 2016 In India. Internet traffic will grow 4.0-fold from 2016 to 2021, a compound annual growth rate of 32%. Indian internet traffic in 2021 will be equivalent to 291x the volume of the entire Indian internet in 2005. 

IP traffic will reach 5 Gigabytes per capita in 2021, up from 1 Gigabytes in 2016. The average fixed broadband speed will grow 2.8-fold from 2016 to 2021, from 6.6 Mbps to 18.2 Mbps. Increase in mobile, internet video In India, mobile data traffic will grow 7-fold from 2016 to 2021, a compound annual growth rate of 49%. Mobile data traffic in 2021 will be equivalent to 88x the volume of the entire Indian internet in 2005 In India.

84 billion minutes (159,201 years) of video content will cross the internet each month in 2021.

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